category archives: Consumer Confidence

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What’s eating at these markets?

  • Written by David
  • August 4, 2011 at 8:37 am
  • 0

“America will always do the right thing, but only after exhausting all other options.” …Winston Churchill

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BEA Reports 1Q-2011 and “Great Recession” Far Worse Than We Were Previously Told

  • Written by David
  • August 1, 2011 at 8:25 am
  • 0

Startling revisions to the Nation’s GDP figures. source: http://www.consumerindexes.com Selected text from post of: 28 Jul 2011 10:00 PM PDT. Key ‘take away’ points from the post; Is the BEA data reliable given the magnitude of the revisions and the time it took to revise the data? David Gratke. Link to full post: http://www.consumerindexes.com/2011-07-29_commentary.html “Included [...]

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Search for Safety, Safe assets: nowhere to hide?

  • Written by David
  • February 25, 2011 at 10:40 am
  • 1

While browsing the Financial Times (FT) today, I came across this article, Safe assets: nowhere to hide (Click above title to access article) I instantly thought, this headline is not true, there are investment strategies to protect investors during sharp market declines.  David Gratke Wealth Advisors has been using such strategies for nearly ten years [...]

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Putting the 60% Rally Into Perspective

  • Written by David
  • October 23, 2009 at 10:13 am
  • 0

The data below seems to be quite self explanatory… Stock markets are up 60% plus. How does this rally stack up with previous ones? Here are some key criteria of what previous 60% rallies have looked like when analyzed across 10 different key economic dimensions : Year over Year Retail Sales: 9.3% average in prior [...]

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Dow 9800, What is one to do now?

  • Written by David
  • September 28, 2009 at 2:43 pm
  • 0

This posting is a more detailed look at my August 20, 2009 posting Commentary | Where do the markets go from here? I’ve recently begun crafting a short list of topics that have me concerned when viewed against the backdrop of current stock market valuations.  This list will be a work in progress. I could [...]

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Commentary | Where do the markets go from here?

  • Written by David
  • August 20, 2009 at 10:33 am
  • 2

Although world stock markets have made excellent ground in recovering past years’ losses as reported in the Financial Times article dated August 15, 2009, S&P surge beats post-war record (click to read article) I continue to remain cautious regarding the longer term outlook for the US and world financial markets. Since nearly 70% of the [...]

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Stock Markets Rally Before Economic News turns Positive, Part Two

  • Written by David
  • October 31, 2008 at 9:50 am
  • 1

As stated in my blog posting of October 27, 2008, Stock Markets Rally Before Economic News I highlighted the historical nature of stock market advances well in front of positive economic news. I detailed the 1974/75 stock market advance verses Gross Domestic Product (GDP). In this posting, I reflect how the markets have historically advanced [...]

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Stock Markets Rally Before Economic News turns Positive, Part One

  • Written by David
  • October 27, 2008 at 8:26 am
  • 1

As I alluded to in a previous blog posting, stock markets will rally well in advance of positive economic news being reported. This seems counter-intuitive Dave? Let us remember, that stock markets are what we say ‘discounting mechanisms’. This is to say, markets are looking forward in order to set current valuations. Therefore, the low [...]

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