tags archives: bear-markets

  20130202_SPXMARG_0.104626 2
 

What wakes me up at night?

  • Written by David
  • February 7, 2013 at 1:53 am
  • 0

During a client meeting a few years ago, the client asked, ‘Dave, what keeps you up at night?‘. I wryly responded, nothing! After observing the intended reaction I stated, ‘No… it’s what ‘wakes me up at night’; that is the question. What is it then, that currently ‘wakes me up at night’? The over-valued markets [...]

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Is it time to take the air bag out of the steering wheel? Managed Futures, an update.

  • Written by David
  • November 1, 2012 at 12:25 am
  • 0

When an asset class under performs, it is always tempting to sell that asset class and remove it from one’s portfolio. Enter Managed Futures. Managed Futures have significantly underperformed broad markets over the past few years with the exception of stock market declines in Q3 2011 and May 2012. As a sage money manager once [...]

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  BearMktDeclines
 

Is this ‘Bear’ Out of the Woods Yet?

  • Written by David
  • November 22, 2011 at 2:33 am
  • 0

Yes we are still in a secular bear market, but for how long? Generally speaking, bull markets do not start until stock market valuations (Price Earnings Ratios-P/E’s) are in the single digits. We are still mid teens or higher for the current P/E ratio. The chart below is from Sitka Pacific Capital Mgt. Sitka has [...]

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  USStocksPeakDailyHistoricalReturnsQ32011
 

Managed Futures in Action, An update

  • Written by David
  • October 14, 2011 at 3:54 pm
  • 0

Managed Futures; An update May 31, 2012 Last October I discussed how managed futures performed so well during the third-quarter in 2011. That original text is below. Here is an update on the same asset class during May 2012. Summation, strong out-performance during May for ‘managed futures.’ Granted, managed futures have had sideways performance earlier [...]

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